What is the expert prediction for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

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Getafe vs Atlético Madrid Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, November 23, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Coliseum (Getafe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Getafe		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.95	3.45	1.78	Watch
	5.3	3.54	1.78
	4.97	3.57	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.88)	3.52 ↑ (3.44)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Getafe
19%

Draw
27.4%

Atlético Madrid
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

27.8%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

27.5%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	9.4%	84.9%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Atlético (2.15) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.27% – 94.55%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 23 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Soria D. (G) 21. Iglesias J. 3. Abqar A. 2. Djene (C) 22. Duarte D. 16. Rico D. 23. Liso A. 5. Milla L. 8. Arambarri M. 6. Martin M. 9. Mayoral B.	1. Musso J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 2. Gimenez J. M. 15. Lenglet C. 3. Ruggeri M. 16. Molina N. 8. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Baena A. 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
18. Alex Sancris 20. da Costa C. 14. Javier Munoz 37. Joselu 7. Juanmi 11. Kamara A. 17. Kiko Femenia 32. Laso L. 1. Letacek J. (G) 12. Nyom A. 34. Solozabal H.	11. Almada T. 5. Cardoso J. 33. de Luis M. (G) 31. Esquivel S. (G) 21. Galan J. 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. 17. Hancko D. 12. Martin C. 18. Pubill M. 22. Raspadori G. 9. Sorloth A.
Coaches
Bordalas Jimenez J.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Llorente M. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
40', Abqar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Alvarez J. 🟨,
57', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
59', Koke ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
59', Alvarez J. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
69', Gonzalez N. ↓, Hancko D. ↑,
69', Ruggeri M. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
76', Liso A. ↓, da Costa C. ↑,
77', Abqar A. ↓, Kiko Femenia ↑,
79', Martin M. 🟨,
81', Simeone D. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Duarte D. (Own goal), Raspadori G. (A),
86', Martin M. ↓, Alex Sancris ↑,
87', Iglesias J. ↓, Juanmi ↑,
90', Milla L. ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
90+1', Musso J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 1.

Getafe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético is the team to beat.

There will not play in Getafe: Davinchi (Knee Injury) Neyou Y. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Le Normand R. (Knee Injury) Oblak J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:38. (average 0.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Getafe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.4:1.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Getafe - Girona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Inter de Valdemoro - Getafe	0:11 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Getafe - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWL
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
08.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Levante	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Saint-Gilloise	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
27.10.25	Betis - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Arsenal - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	5:0
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	1:3
Spanish LaLiga
15.05.24	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:3
19.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	3:3
04.02.23	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	1:1

Getafe - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide