Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Virtus Verona		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.45	3.05	2.78	Watch
	2.54	3	2.95
	2.46	3.05	2.84	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.43	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.56)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)	2.8 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
36.7%

Draw
30.8%

Giana Erminio
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.8%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Virtus Verona aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 7. Amadio M. 75. Bassi M. 99. Fabbro M. 30. Gatti C. 95. Munaretti L. 44. Pagliuca M. 28. Patane N. 29. Saiani F. 23. Toffanin F. 10. Zarpellon L.	22. Mazza A. (G) 18. Cannistra P. 19. Duca T. 6. Ferri L. 11. Galeandro A. 14. Marotta M. 7. Pinto D. 26. Previtali N. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 29. Samele L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Marotta M. ⚽,
31', Fabbro M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amadio M. ↓, Ballarini M. ↑,
57', Ruffini L. 🟨,
60', Ruffini L. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
62', Patane N. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
69', Samele L. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
69', Renda F. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
78', Zarpellon L. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
78', Gatti C. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
86', Pagliuca M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
86', Pinto D. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1.

Virtus Verona is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Giana Erminio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Verona - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
31.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Virtus Verona - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Inter U23 - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus Verona - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Cittadella - Virtus Verona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:3
04.05.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:0
18.04.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:1
07.12.24	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	1:1
16.03.24	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:0
11.11.23	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	4:0
20.02.22	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	1:1

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