Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 27

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max


	Virtus Verona		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.05	3.3
	2.08	3.23	3.54
	2.13	3.27	3.44	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.03	3.18	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.63)	3.11 ↓ (3.61)	3.43 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
44%

Draw
29.4%

Caldiero Terme
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Verona's form might have worsened.

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caldiero Terme's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Virtus Verona - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Users Predictions: Virtus Verona will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 2. Catena E. M. 23. Toffanin F. 37. Calabrese N. 74. Lerco S. 5. Mehic D. 8. Metlika A. 6. Daffara M. 32. Rispoli F. 99. Caia F. 14. De Marchi M.	45. Crespi G. M. (G) 15. Gecchele P. 24. Gobetti N. 44. Nessi R. 3. Parodi G. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 85. Cisse O. 11. Marras T. 10. Fasan N. 20. Florio M. 9. Caccavo L.
Substitutes
55. Alfonso E. (G) 16. Bassi M. 75. Cielo T. 9. Contini G. 47. Cuel E. 96. Fabbro M. 25. Filippi N. 12. Fortin G. (G) 30. Gatti C. 21. Gomez J. 4. Lodovici R. 90. Odogwu C. 34. Ronco D. 29. Saiani F. 10. Zarpellon L.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 97. Cazzadori D. 4. Gattoni T. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 33. Mazzolo F. 28. Molnar I. 26. Mondini G. 14. Pelamatti A. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 7. Zerbato L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Caia F. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Caia F. ⚽,
11', Mehic D. 🟨,
17', 2 - 1, Caccavo L. ⚽,
20', Marras T. 🟨,
27', 3 - 1, De Marchi M. ⚽,
44', Gobetti N. 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
45+4', De Marchi M. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rispoli F. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
52', 4 - 1, De Marchi M. ⚽,
54', Filiciotto A. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
54', Gobetti N. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
62', Lerco S. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
62', Caia F. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
64', Fabbro M. 🟨,
67', Florio M. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
67', Cisse O. ↓, Gattoni T. ↑,
74', De Marchi M. ↓, Bassi M. ↑,
78', Caccavo L. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
80', Parodi G. 🟨,
82', Sibi S. ↓, Fortin G. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Metlika A. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 2, Lanzi E. ⚽,

Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 138. Musetti is ranked ATP: 16.

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Musetti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Atalanta U23 - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
01.02.25	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
18.01.25	Virtus Verona - FeralpiSalò	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WWWLL
- Caldiero Terme
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcione - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Trento	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Virtus Verona	0:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.08.24	Virtus Verona - Caldiero Terme	2:3 penalties

Virtus Verona - Caldiero Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide