Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Pro Patria		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.5
	1.86	3.1	5.15
	1.81	3.17	5.05	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.5
	1.85	3.29	4.45	Watch
	1.78	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	3.11 ↑ (3)	4.69 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
50.7%

Draw
29.6%

Caldiero Terme
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caldiero Terme could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Pro Patria - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 5. Bashi E. 13. Alcibiade R. 98. Coccolo L. 18. Piran L. 10. Nicco G. 6. Mehic A. 11. Pitou J. 28. Somma M. 9. Beretta G. 32. Rocco D.	45. Crespi G. M. (G) 33. Mazzolo F. 13. Pelagatti C. 44. Nessi R. 14. Pelamatti A. 20. Florio M. 8. Filiciotto A. 4. Gattoni T. 10. Fasan N. 7. Zerbato L. (C) 97. Cazzadori D.
Substitutes
2. Barlocco L. 27. Cavalli T. 14. Citterio G. 7. Curatolo D. 25. Ferri D. 75. Mallamo A. 8. Palazzi A. 12. Pratelli L. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 20. Renault C. 31. Terrani G. 29. Toci E. 30. Vaglica G.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 15. Gecchele P. 24. Gobetti N. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 11. Marras T. 28. Molnar I. 26. Mondini G. 3. Parodi G. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Mehic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nicco G. ↓, Ferri D. ↑,
55', Pelagatti C. 🟨,
58', Mehic A. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
58', Pitou J. ↓, Terrani G. ↑,
63', Zerbato L. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
73', Cazzadori D. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
73', Florio M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
80', Bashi E. 🟨,
80', Piran L. ↓, Barlocco L. ↑,
86', Beretta G. ↓, Toci E. ↑,
89', Fasan N. ↓, Molnar I. ↑,
90+3', Nessi R. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Pro Patria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldiero Terme has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Pro Patria is a favorite.

There will not play in Pro Patria: Sassaro A. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.25	Lecco - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Pro Patria - Union Clodiense	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Padova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Novara - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.25	Caldiero Terme - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Virtus Verona - Caldiero Terme	5:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcione - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria	1:1

Pro Patria - Caldiero Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide