The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 42.6%
Draw 29.1%
Fleetwood Town 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.9%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
27.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Gillingham - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 30. Gale S. 5. Smith A. 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 14. McKenzie R. (C) 6. Coleman E. 21. Williams E. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 38. Hale R.
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 24. Clark M. 17. Evans C. 7. Osong D. E.
Substitutes
15. Akomeah T. 9. Andrews J. 32. Cirino L. 1. Morris G. (G) 11. Rowe A. 19. Vokes S. 10. Williams J.
9. Davies W. 29. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 38. McLean C. 23. Morrison G. 22. Powell J.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Lawlor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Helm M. 🟨,
40', Ogie S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
62', Hutton R. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
68', Williams E. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
68', Osong D. E. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
68', Bonds E. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
76', Evans C. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
84', Hale R. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
84', McKenzie R. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
84', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
85', Andrews J. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Rooney S. ⚽, Helm M. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fleetwood is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gillingham might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Masterson C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bennett R.
(Inactive)
Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Coughlan R.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Gillingham: 2%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gillingham
10
4
4
2
15:10
5
16
16
Fleetwood
10
2
5
3
10:11
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.09%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Fleetwood Town - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.98%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.