Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.22	2.92	3.35
	2.27	2.92	3.41
	2.02	3.18	3.78	Watch
	2.24	2.84	3.33
	2.12	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)	2.93 ↓ (2.99)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
42.1%

Draw
31.2%

Hércules
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gimnástic de Tarragona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+1%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Santos S. 4. Alba D. 5. Morgado C. 7. Junca D. 8. Montalvo M. 11. Jimenez A. 14. Sanz O. (C) 17. Martinez P. 23. Baselga M. 10. Jardi J.	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (C) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 3. Alvarez A. 24. Jimenez J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 8. Mangada C. 22. Aranda A. 17. De Leon J. 9. Slavy 11. Ropero U.
Substitutes
12. Almpanis C. 22. Alvaro Garcia 2. Camus S. 26. Esteves E. (G) 19. Fuentes J. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 18. Kaptoum W. 16. Moi 9. Omoigui C. 6. Prendes M. 21. Pujol E. 15. Torres F.	13. Blazic A. (G) 15. Cantero R. 23. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 28. Galvan J. 16. Gomes V. 21. Retu 18. Rojas C. 19. Sol F. 20. Sotillos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', Alvarez A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Jardi J. (Pen),
24', 2 - 0, Martinez P. ⚽,
35', Junca D. 🟨,
44', Jimenez A. 🟨,
45+2', Jimenez A. 🟨,
45+3', Slavy (Pen),
45+4', 2 - 1, Slavy ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Junca D. ↓, Alvaro Garcia ↑,
46', De Leon J. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
58', Aranda A. ↓, Sotillos A. ↑,
58', Alvarez A. ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Sol F. ⚽,
69', Jardi J. ↓, Moi ↑,
69', Baselga M. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
74', Martinez P. 🟨,
79', Martinez P. ↓, Prendes M. ↑,
82', Vazquez S. 🟥,
84', Alba D. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
85', Slavy ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
90+2', Santos S. 🟨,
90+7', Sanz O. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

Gimnàstic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hércules has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gimnàstic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.11.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLLL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.11.25	Hércules - Betis B	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Eldense - Hércules	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hércules - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Antequera - Hércules	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.12.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	0:2
08.02.15	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:3
21.09.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.12	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3

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