Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Gimnástica Segoviana		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.45
	1.89	3.1	4.55
	1.98	2.92	4.18	Watch
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.88	3.34	4.18
	1.86	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.69)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	4.32 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
48.9%

Draw
29.8%

UD Ourense
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Galvan A. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Galvan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

UD Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, G Segoviana is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Langreo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWWW
- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Lealtad - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	UD Ourense - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Real Oviedo B - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Astorga - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWT

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