The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Madryn 64.6%
Draw 24.7%
Defensores Unidos 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
27.1%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
25.8%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Madryn - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Calderon P. 3. Zuliani H. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Peinipil J. 11. Ferreyra B.
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Mariatti M. 2. Morales A. 6. Zadel D. 3. Olivera L. 8. Guerra Brian 5. Nizzo M. 7. Arregui L. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Juarez R. 11. Sombra A.
Substitutes
13. Braghieri D. 15. Dionisio A. 19. Eseiza J. 12. Hass J. (G) 17. Jara E. 14. Mansilla M. 16. Moreno A. 20. Palacio J. 18. Porto J.
12. Aquino M. (G) 13. Arebalo F. 16. Fernandez F. 19. Lonardi F. 17. Ortigoza M. 18. Pedraza L. 14. Ponce J. 15. Silva F. 20. Toniolo V.
Coaches
Gracian L.
Lema D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Peinipil J. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Ferreyra B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Ferreyra B. (Pen),
68', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Braghieri D. ↑,
69', Peinipil J. ↓, Eseiza J. ↑,
69', Ferreyra B. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
71', Mariatti M. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
71', Arregui L. ↓, Lonardi F. ↑,
71', Guerra Brian ↓, Toniolo V. ↑,
77', Recalde F. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
77', Perez B. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).
Deportivo Madryn is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Defensores Unidos is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Deportivo Madryn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Deportivo Madryn is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Deportivo Madryn to win the game is with odds 1.42.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
Argentina
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Bonnin Y. (G) 
Perez B. 
Arebalo F. 
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