Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	10	Watch
	1.46	3.9	6.75
	1.45	4	7.5
	1.46	3.99	8.69
	1.44	3.7	8
	1.46	4.05	7.7
	1.46	3.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)	8.01 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
64%

Draw
24.3%

Guillermo Brown
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

28.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

28.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's performance.

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guillermo Brown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guillermo Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Mendoza: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Olivarez S. 3. Recalde M. 8. Rodriguez J. 5. Villarruel L. 10. Castro R. 7. Nouet M. 9. Herrera W. A. 11. Romano N.	1. Garcia R. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Fleita J. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velasquez S. 8. Luayza M. 5. Romero E. 10. Barrios E. 7. Assennato T. 9. Rodriguez J. 11. Alvarez B.
Substitutes
14. Antonio I. 15. Barboza O. 18. Esposito G. 12. Humeler K. (G) 20. Juncos J. 16. Lopez S. 19. Marchiori T. 13. Palmieri M. 17. Seratto R.	20. Baez B. 15. Garcia E. 17. Hernandez S. 16. Navarro G. 18. Paileman R. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 14. Rosales E. 13. Valor M. 19. Viera Gaston
Coaches
Sastre J.	Lemos L.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.10.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Club Almagro	4:3 ✺
23.09.23	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Temperley	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTL
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.10.23	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Deportivo Flandria - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Defensores Unidos - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Guillermo Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2
11.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1
25.11.18	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	2:1
25.11.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	1:2 penalties
08.07.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	2:1
22.02.15	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1

Upcoming Matches