Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Referee: Okabe T. (Jpn)


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.44	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.42
	7	4.2	1.45	Watch
	6.87	4.13	1.47
	7.04	4.19	1.47
	7	4.2	1.36
	7.55	4.3	1.43	Watch
	7	4.1	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↓ (7.63)	4.13 ↓ (4.44)	1.43 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
13.4%

Draw
22.3%

Machida Zelvia
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

20.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

18.4%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Otani K. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 13. Kudo K. 24. Maeda H. 34. Takayoshi S. 14. Izawa H. 7. Hirahara R. 8. Wakaya T. 15. Kobayashi R. 29. Koh S.	1. Tani K. (G) 33. Mochizuki H. 3. Shoji G. 4. Ikeda J. 2. Okuyama M. 16. Uno Z. 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B. 99. Takahashi D. 47. Araki S. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
4. Hasegawa K. 9. Hirayama S. 19. Ino B. 3. Ito S. 41. Sera T. 30. Takahashi R. 39. Taniguchi R. (G) 25. Tsubogo R. 18. Watanabe S.	44. Aoki Y. 37. Ashibe K. 17. Inaba S. 30. Nakashima Y. 29. Narasaka T. 19. Numata T. 38. Takasaki T. 28. Yamaguchi L. (G) 41. Yasui T.
Coaches
Masumoto K.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Vasquez B. ⚽,
54', Duke M. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Wakaya T. ⚽,
55', Wakaya T. ↓, Hirayama S. ↑,
74', Kobayashi R. ↓, Ino B. ↑,
78', Uno Z. ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Yasui T. ⚽,
84', Hirahara R. ↓, Takahashi R. ↑,
84', Koh S. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
88', Vasquez B. ↓, Nakashima Y. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Giravanz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machida Zelvia is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Imabari - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWLTW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Machida Zelvia - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Consadole Sapporo - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.08.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Machida Zelvia	2:1
30.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1
30.09.20	Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
15.08.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Machida Zelvia	2:1
06.11.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Machida Zelvia	1:3
15.05.16	Machida Zelvia - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1

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