Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Kataller Toyama		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.1	3	Watch
	2.29	3.2	3.33
	2.3	3.03	3.33
	2.15	3	3
	2.22	3.06	3.14	Watch
	2.26	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	3.1 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
40.9%

Draw
29.6%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 25. Yasumitsu S. 2. Wakimoto K. 4. Kamiyama K. 30. Osako A. 8. Matsuoka D. 7. Sasaki Y. 24. Kawai Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S. 33. Takahashi Y.	27. Tanaka Y. (G) 23. Sakamoto K. 50. Sugiyama K. 13. Kudo K. 33. Inui T. 17. Okano R. 14. Izawa H. 11. Kiyama K. 21. Ushinohama T. 10. Nagai R. 29. Koh S.
Substitutes
42. Hirao T. (G) 18. Ito T. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M. 11. Matsumoto K. 20. Oyama M. 14. Shimodo R. 17. Tsubokawa H.	4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 9. Hirayama S. 15. Kobayashi R. 31. Otani K. (G) 30. Takahashi R. 34. Takayoshi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Sakamoto K. ↓, Kobayashi R. ↑,
31', Wakimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Yasumitsu S. ⚽,
72', Nagai R. ↓, Hirayama S. ↑,
72', Koh S. ↓, Takahashi R. ↑,
75', Sasaki Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
81', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
81', Osako A. ↓, Oyama M. ↑,
81', Kawai Y. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
83', Okano R. ↓, Hasegawa K. ↑,
83', Izawa H. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
88', Matsuoka D. ↓, Shimodo R. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kataller Toyama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
30.03.24	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Fukushima United - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
31.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Imabari - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
20.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
08.10.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	0:1
19.03.23	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:2
13.11.22	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	1:2
27.03.22	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2
Japan J2 League
04.10.14	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kataller Toyama	2:2
06.05.14	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2
15.09.13	Kataller Toyama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:0

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