Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Daystar Pacific


	Celta de Vigo		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	5.25
	1.72	3.7	4.8
	1.65	3.75	6
	1.65	3.94	5.76
	1.63	3.97	5.47	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.69	3.98	5.36
	1.8	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)	3.81 ↑ (3.64)	5.25 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
56.8%

Draw
25%

PAOK
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Celta de Vigo - PAOK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Celta (1.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - PAOK (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -0.75 - Celta (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - PAOK (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (60 of 74 users predict this - 81.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.16% – 90%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 30 - 88.2%). PAOK (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 15. Vecino M. 10. Aspas I. (C) 6. Moriba I. 17. Rueda J. 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.	99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 3. Kenny J. 16. Kedziora T. (C) 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 20. Zafeiris C. 35. Sanchez J. 22. Bianco A. 52. Chatsidis D. 7. Giakoumakis G.
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 24. Dominguez C. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 30. Lopez F. 3. Mingueza O. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 16. Roman M. 1. Villar I. (G)	39. Berdos D. 2. Camara M. 37. Dunga B. 19. Jeremejeff A. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 81. Nikolakoulis V. (G) 32. Taylor G. 25. Thymianis K. 4. Vogliacco A.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Moriba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moriba I. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
64', Bianco A. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
67', Aspas I. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
74', Chatsidis D. ↓, Taylor G. ↑,
77', Iglesias B. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
77', Swedberg W. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
80', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
89', Alonso M. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Celta is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Duran P. (Knee Injury) Nunez A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Despodov K. (Injury) Ivanusec L. (Toe Injury) Konstantelias G. (Inactive) Meite S. (Injury) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Injury) Sastre J. (Inactive) Zivkovic A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Celta: Sotelo H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Lovren D. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Celta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celta Vigo: 3.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	PAOK - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLT
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
22.02.26	AEL Larissa - PAOK	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	PAOK - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
15.02.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.02.26	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	PAOK - Celta de Vigo	1:2
02.10.25	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	3:1

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