Match Info

Date: 2 June 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Girona		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.2	3.05	3.55
	2.13	3.05	3.55
	2.32	3.14	3.59
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.27	3.13	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)	3.06 ↑ (2.94)	3.52 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
42.5%

Draw
30.8%

Eibar
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

31.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

34.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Girona - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 28 - 57.1%). Eibar will win (votes: 14 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 43.2% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Girona has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 68, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (34%), has not chance of win league.

Eibar has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 80, has currently - 80, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (22%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 38, very big importance 100, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Girona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Girona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
29.05.22	Burgos - Girona	0:0 ✺
21.05.22	Girona - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	2:1 ✺
09.05.22	Girona - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Alcorcón - Girona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLLW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
29.05.22	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Eibar - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Leganés - Eibar	2:3 ✺
08.05.22	Eibar - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	Eibar - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1
29.11.21	Eibar - Girona	4:2
Spanish LaLiga
03.02.19	Eibar - Girona	3:0
06.10.18	Girona - Eibar	2:3
05.05.18	Girona - Eibar	1:4
21.12.17	Eibar - Girona	4:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.01.14	Girona - Eibar	1:1

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