Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Burgos		Girona

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2	Watch
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.85	3.05	2.1
	3.75	3.15	2.03
	4.02	3.29	2.1
	4	3.1	2	Watch
	3.9	3.15	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	2.05 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
24.5%

Draw
29.9%

Girona
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

28.8%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

29.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25.9%	57.4%

Burgos - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Girona will win (votes: 31 - 57.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 44.2% – 70.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Burgos has the most likely position - 12 (33.6%), has project points - 55, has currently - 54, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Girona has the most likely position - 5 (49.07%), has project points - 69, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (91%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 34, importance 36, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Burgos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.22	Málaga - Burgos	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Burgos - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Ponferradina - Burgos	3:1 ✺
30.04.22	Burgos - Almería	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTLLT
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.22	Girona - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	2:1 ✺
09.05.22	Girona - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Alcorcón - Girona	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Cartagena - Girona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.21	Girona - Burgos	3:1

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