Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Girona		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.55	5.5	Watch
	1.72	3.35	5
	1.81	3.29	5.79
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.77	3.58	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	5.17 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
54.4%

Draw
27.4%

Lugo
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

22.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Girona - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 13).

Girona has the most likely position - 4 (14.5%), has project points - 68, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 14 (8.19%), has project points - 54, has currently - 30, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Girona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Girona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Girona have a series of home games.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 16 head-to-head matches Girona won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.22	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
09.01.22	Girona - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Girona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Huesca - Girona	0:1 ✺
17.12.21	Girona - Burgos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.22	Lugo - Almería	2:1 ✺
09.01.22	Lugo - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
02.01.22	Sporting de Gijón - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Lugo - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.10.21	Lugo - Girona	1:0
13.03.21	Girona - Lugo	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Girona - Lugo	2:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.20	Lugo - Girona	3:0
12.07.20	Lugo - Girona	2:2
08.12.19	Girona - Lugo	3:1
30.04.17	Lugo - Girona	1:2

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