Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 21

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Francavilla		Benevento

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	1.78
	4.75	3.6	1.7
	4.45	3.26	1.9
	4.45	3.26	1.9
	4	3.25	1.8
	4.21	3.25	1.83
	3.9	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.74)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
21.7%

Draw
27.9%

Benevento
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

28.4%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

26%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Virtus Francavilla - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Benevento will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 5. Monteagudo J. C. 15. Dutu E. 3. De Marino D. 7. Biondi K. 30. Macca F. 8. Di Marco T. 21. Risolo A. 50. Ingrosso G. 10. Polidori A. 9. Artistico G.	24. Paleari A. (G) 20. Berra F. 96. Capellini R. 58. Pastina C. 16. Improta R. 14. Pinato M. 21. Agazzi D. 5. Masciangelo E. 10. Ciano C. 9. Marotta A. 11. Ferrante A.
Substitutes
70. Cardoselli C. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 72. Fekete M. 77. Fornito G. 6. Gasbarro A. 4. Gavazzi F. 90. Giovinco G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 23. Nicoli S.	4. Alfieri V. 3. Benedetti A. 98. Bolsius D. 30. Carfora L. 99. Ciciretti A. 22. Giangregorio M. (G) 7. Karic N. 8. Kubica K. 12. Manfredini N. (G) 78. Masella D. 23. Rillo F. 18. Simonetti P. 38. Talia A. 28. Terranova E. 25. Viscardi A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Benevento is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.01.24	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Juve Stabia - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
11.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
03.12.23	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.01.24	Benevento - Turris	3:2 ✺
23.12.23	Benevento - Catania	0:4 ✺
18.12.23	Latina - Benevento	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Benevento - Avellino	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Juve Stabia - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.23	Benevento - Virtus Francavilla	1:0

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