Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV
World	Onefootball


	Portadown		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.35	3.45
	1.93	3.42	3.62	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7
	1.93	3.24	3.67
	1.95	3.33	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)	3.31 ↓ (3.71)	3.61 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
46.8%

Draw
27.7%

Glenavon
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portadown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Portadown - Glenavon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Portadown will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Portadown (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCarey A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 5. MacKinnon L. 11. McCullough S. 19. Teelan J. 26. Thompson G. 9. Ukek J. 6. Wilson L. 8. Wylie B.	1. Carney J. (G) 25. Bosakani B. 3. Burns P. 8. Malone J. (C) 29. McGovern P. 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H. 14. O'Kane O. 31. Quinn N. 26. Smith C. 20. Wilson B.
Substitutes
27. Annett R. 12. Gibson J. 2. Isamala D. 10. Mayse R. 21. Minzamba R. 40. Moore A. (G) 30. Quinn B.	5. Cartwright L. 40. Hamill S. (G) 21. Kee J. 11. Mallon S. 15. McClelland K. 36. McGerrigan L. 6. McKeown B.
Coaches
Currie N.	O'Connor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Wilson L. ⚽,
41', Altintop B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carney J. ↓, Hamill S. ↑,
46', Ukek J. ↓, Quinn B. ↑,
48', Teelan J. 🟨,
67', Wylie B. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
83', Teelan J. ↓, Annett R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Portadown is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
20.12.25	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Portadown - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Crusaders - Portadown	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Portadown - Cliftonville	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLW
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
20.12.25	Glenavon - Linfield	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	Glenavon - Bangor	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	3:1 ✺
21.11.25	Larne - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Portadown - Glenavon	3:1
01.04.25	Portadown - Glenavon	1:1
26.12.24	Glenavon - Portadown	2:0
23.11.24	Portadown - Glenavon	1:0
05.10.24	Glenavon - Portadown	2:1
Northern Irish League Cup
16.01.24	Glenavon - Portadown	0:1
Northern Irish Premiership
29.04.23	Glenavon - Portadown	0:0

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