Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2023, Sunday


	Gloucester City		Leamington

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.38	3.2	2.7
	2.38	3.08	2.99
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.29	3.24	2.88
	2.36	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.73)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.8 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
38.6%

Draw
28.9%

Leamington
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

23.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester City's form might have worsened.

Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leamington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leamington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gloucester City - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Leamington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
26.12.22	Leamington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Gateshead - Gloucester City	5:1 ✺
English National League North
10.12.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:6 ✺
06.12.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL
- Leamington
English National League North
26.12.22	Leamington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Tamworth - Leamington	2:1 ✺
English National League North
06.12.22	Leamington - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Boston United - Leamington	3:0 ✺
26.11.22	Leamington - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.12.22	Leamington - Gloucester City	1:1
02.01.22	Leamington - Gloucester City	0:1
26.12.21	Gloucester City - Leamington	0:0
02.01.21	Leamington - Gloucester City	1:1
26.12.20	Gloucester City - Leamington	1:0
01.01.20	Gloucester City - Leamington	2:1
26.12.19	Leamington - Gloucester City	3:0

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