Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Fylde

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2
	2.85	3.25	2.23
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.18	3.48	2.13
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.14	3.38	2.09
	2.65	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.41)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	2.14 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
29.9%

Draw
27.7%

Fylde
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester City's form might have worsened.

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Gloucester City - Fylde Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fylde will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1.

Gloucester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fylde is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fylde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
26.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.22	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLL
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
26.11.22	Fylde - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Fylde - Boston United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Fylde - Colne	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.11.22	Gillingham - Fylde	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Darlington - Fylde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.03.22	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:0
16.10.21	Fylde - Gloucester City	1:0
17.12.16	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:5
English FA Trophy
26.11.16	Gloucester City - Fylde	2:3
English National League North
03.09.16	Fylde - Gloucester City	2:2
13.02.16	Fylde - Gloucester City	1:0
05.09.15	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:3

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