Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 20

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.66	3.7	4.4
	1.65	3.5	4.23
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.6	3.8	4.9
	1.66	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	4.56 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
55.3%

Draw
24.9%

Gloucester City
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

16.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kidderminster Harriers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kidderminster will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kidderminster: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 2.

Recent matches Kidderminster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kidderminster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kidderminster have a series of guest games.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
22.11.22	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	St Albans City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	King`s Lynn Town - Kidderminster Harriers	3:0 ✺
08.11.22	Boston United - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLL
- Gloucester City
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.22	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
31.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.01.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	0:0
23.11.21	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:3
09.01.21	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	3:2
13.08.19	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	2:3
08.04.17	Gloucester City - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2
22.11.16	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	3:0

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