Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Peterborough Sports		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.79	3.89	4.01
	1.79	3.89	4.01
	1.75	3.7	3.8
	1.81	3.72	3.89
	1.8	3.65	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.96)	3.73 ↑ (3.46)	3.91 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
51.8%

Draw
24.7%

Gloucester City
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Peterborough Sports - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Jarvis D. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Peterborough Sports has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gloucester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peterborough Sports could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peterborough Sports will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peterborough Sports won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough Sports won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
29.03.24	Boston United - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Warrington Town	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
12.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Buxton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
29.03.24	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Warrington Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Gloucester City - Boston United	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.12.23	Gloucester City - Peterborough Sports	2:1
28.02.23	Peterborough Sports - Gloucester City	1:2
16.08.22	Gloucester City - Peterborough Sports	3:1

Peterborough Sports - Gloucester City