Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Leamington		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.23	3.2	2.88
	2.12	3.25	3.15
	2.09	3.3	3.46
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.07	3.28	3.28
	2.12	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.29)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leamington
42.8%

Draw
28.4%

Gloucester City
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Leamington - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leamington will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leamington won 0.

Leamington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gloucester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leamington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Leamington won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Leamington won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leamington
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Tamworth - Leamington	2:1 ✺
English National League North
06.12.22	Leamington - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Boston United - Leamington	3:0 ✺
26.11.22	Leamington - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leamington - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLW
- Gloucester City
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Gateshead - Gloucester City	5:1 ✺
English National League North
10.12.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:6 ✺
06.12.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.01.22	Leamington - Gloucester City	0:1
26.12.21	Gloucester City - Leamington	0:0
02.01.21	Leamington - Gloucester City	1:1
26.12.20	Gloucester City - Leamington	1:0
01.01.20	Gloucester City - Leamington	2:1
26.12.19	Leamington - Gloucester City	3:0
04.04.15	Gloucester City - Leamington	3:1

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