Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 2

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Goiás		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.55	Watch
	3.1	3	2.45
	3.15	3	2.48
	3.38	2.94	2.55
	3.13	3.13	2.41	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
30.2%

Draw
31.6%

Corinthians
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

30.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.7%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Corinthians have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Goiás - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Goiás has the most likely position - 20 (21.18%), project points - 36, currently - 0, a good chance of relegated (57%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Corinthians has the most likely position - 6 (7.43%), project points - 56, currently - 3, a small chance of relegated (8%), a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 45, small importance 30, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Goiás: Luiz Filipe (Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Gustavo Mosquito (Injury) Junior Moraes (Injury) Rafael Ramos (Injury) Renato Augusto (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.04.23	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Goiás - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWTL
- Corinthians
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Corinthians - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.04.23	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.04.23	Remo - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.23	Corinthians - Ituano	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.10.22	Goiás - Corinthians	0:0
19.06.22	Corinthians - Goiás	1:0
21.12.20	Corinthians - Goiás	2:1
02.09.20	Goiás - Corinthians	1:2
16.10.19	Goiás - Corinthians	2:2
07.08.19	Corinthians - Goiás	2:0
15.10.15	Corinthians - Goiás	3:0

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