Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Liverpool Montevideo		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3	2.2
	3.65	3.15	2.17
	3.65	3.12	2.28
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.52	3.15	2.19	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.74)	3.08 ↓ (3.45)	2.19 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
26.7%

Draw
30.5%

Corinthians
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

28.7%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liverpool Montevideo's performance.

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liverpool Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Liverpool Montevideo - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Corinthians have a series of home games.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:0 ✺
13.03.23	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - La Luz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTL
- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.23	Corinthians - Ituano	1:2 penalties ✺
04.03.23	Corinthians - Santo André	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Santos - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Corinthians - Mirassol	3:0 ✺
16.02.23	Corinthians - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWT

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