Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.8	3.15	5
	1.81	3.17	5.68
	1.8	3.12	5.28
	1.67	3.3	5.5
	1.72	3.19	5.71	Watch
	1.8	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	5.4 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
53.4%

Draw
29.2%

Ferroviária
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Goiás - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Goiás (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Goiás will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 20. Diego Caito 14. Lucas Ribeiro 75. Messias 97. Willean Lepo 77. Marcao Silva 28. Juninho 8. Rafael Gava 30. Welliton 9. Anselmo Ramon 17. Pedrinho	41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 44. Maycon 14. Eric Melo 5. Ricardinho 35. Netinho 20. Albano 77. Juninho 92. Carlao 37. Thiago Lopes
Substitutes
45. Arthur Caike 55. Baldoria 31. Barcelo F. 12. Ezequiel (G) 5. Freitas G. 7. Jaja 36. Lucas Lovat 3. Luiz Felipe 25. Luquinhas 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 22. Vitinho 27. Vitor Hugo	8. Alencar 66. Edson Lucas 83. Erik Nascimento 25. Ian Luccas 70. Igor Bolt 7. Kevin 1. Leo Wall (G) 99. Quirino 9. Ronaldo 29. Tarik 11. Vitor Barreto
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Marcao Silva 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Anselmo Ramon ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Ricardinho 🟨,
61', Ricardinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
62', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
69', Pedrinho ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
69', Rafael Gava ↓, Vitinho ↑,
72', Eric Melo ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
72', Albano ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
74', Welliton ↓, Jaja ↑,
79', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
79', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Jaja ⚽, Arthur Caike (A),
86', Juninho ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
86', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
87', Willean Lepo 🟨,
90', Freitas G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 11).

Goiás is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferroviária has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviária may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Goiás is the team to beat.

There will not play in Goiás: Aloisio (Inactive) Garcia E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive)

There are questionable in Goiás: Lucas Lovat (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.25	Paysandu - Goiás	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Goiás - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Botafogo SP - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
23.04.25	Goiás - Paysandu	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.25	Ferroviária - Avaí	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
02.05.25	Ferroviária - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Cuiabá - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLT

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