Match Info

Date: 15 October 2021, Friday


	Goiás		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.9
	1.89	3.3	3.55	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.3
	1.87	3.49	4.67
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.83	3.32	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.24)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	4.28 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
50.1%

Draw
28.2%

CS Alagoano
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

20.3%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiás's performance.

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CS Alagoano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiás that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Goiás - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). CSA will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6).

Goiás is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSA is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Goiás will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	3:2 ✺
02.10.21	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
27.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Avaí - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
09.10.21	CS Alagoano - Brusque	4:1 ✺
02.10.21	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
29.09.21	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	1:2 ✺
23.09.21	CS Alagoano - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.07.21	CS Alagoano - Goiás	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
12.10.19	Goiás - CS Alagoano	1:0
27.05.19	CS Alagoano - Goiás	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.08.18	Goiás - CS Alagoano	3:0
14.04.18	CS Alagoano - Goiás	2:1

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