Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Police FC		Talanta

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.3
	1.75	3.43	4.4
	1.77	3.43	4.3	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.64
	1.78	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.54)	3.33 ↓ (3.52)	4.39 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
51.7%

Draw
27.5%

Talanta
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

25.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

25.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police FC's form might have worsened.

Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talanta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Police FC - Talanta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Talanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Simiyu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 2.

Police is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Talanta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Police is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Police won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
09.05.25	Bandari - Police FC	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Police FC - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Kenya CB - Police FC	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLT
- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
14.05.25	Talanta - Tusker	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Talanta - Kenya CB	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ulinzi Stars - Talanta	4:0 ✺
24.04.25	Gor Mahia - Talanta	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Talanta - Shabana	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
18.12.24	Talanta - Police FC	0:1
07.04.24	Talanta - Police FC	1:2
28.10.23	Police FC - Talanta	1:1
06.05.23	Talanta - Police FC	0:0
18.02.23	Police FC - Talanta	1:1
16.04.22	Talanta - Police FC	2:1
09.04.22	Police FC - Talanta	1:1

Police FC - Talanta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide