Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Grêmio		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	13
	1.27	4.8	9.75
	1.27	5.4	11
	1.23	6.15	14.92
	1.25	5.45	12.61	Watch
	1.29	4.8	11
	1.24	6.05	12.6
	1.27	5.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.25)	5.51 ↑ (5.5)	11.99 ↓ (12.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
75%

Draw
17.1%

CS Alagoano
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.2%

17%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Grêmio - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). CSA will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tiago Volpi (G) 17. Dodi 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 3. Wagner Leonardo 23. Marlon 20. Villasanti M. 35. Ronald 11. Monsalve M. 99. Olivera C. 22. Braithwaite M. 9. Amuzu F.	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 4. Islan 3. Betao 6. Enzo 8. Gustavo Nicola 7. Silas 5. Camacho (C) 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 9. Tiago Marques 18. Baianinho
Substitutes
47. Alysson 77. Andre Henrique 16. Aravena A. 19. Arezo M. 15. Camilo Reijers 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 21. Jemerson 18. Joao Pedro 25. Lucas Esteves 14. Nathan 7. Pavon C. 44. Viery	20. Danilinho 10. Gabriel Vieira 12. Georgemy (G) 17. Gustavinho 19. Igor Bahia 23. Kevyn 21. Klenisson 13. Luiz Gustavo 14. Marcao 22. Marcelinho 16. Roberto 15. Vander
Coaches
Mano Menezes	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Marlon 🟨,
25', Baianinho 🟨,
28', Enzo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Baianinho ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
55', Monsalve M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
62', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
62', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
66', Amuzu F. ↓, Alysson ↑,
66', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
70', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
78', Ronald ↓, Lucas Esteves ↑,
78', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Vander ↑,
78', Marlon ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
88', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Marcao ↑,
90+2', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
90+4', Arezo M. 🟥,
90+10', Betao 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.

Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CSA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grêmio is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.25	São Paulo - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.25	Grêmio - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.25	Atlético Grau - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.25	Grêmio - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTTW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	CS Alagoano - Maringá	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	3:2
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0
23.06.22	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
07.11.19	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:1
29.07.19	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	0:0

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