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Current Win Probability
Grêmio 45%
Draw 30.7%
Ceará 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
27.3%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26.1%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
40%
10%
Grêmio - Ceará Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tiago Volpi (G) 14. Marcos Rocha 13. Fabian Balbuena 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 23. Marlon 80. Alex Santana 6. Cuellar G. 8. Edenilson 47. Alysson 22. Braithwaite M. 99. Olivera C.
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 3. Marllon (C) 23. Willian Machado 2. Ramos R. 26. Richardson 20. Diego 27. Galeano A. 97. Lourenco 11. Aylon 9. Pedro Raul
Substitutes
9. Amuzu F. 77. Andre Henrique 16. Aravena A. 10. Cristaldo F. 65. Freitas dos Santos R. 40. Jardiel 21. Jemerson 25. Lucas Esteves 19. Noriega E. 35. Ronald 24. Thiago Beltrame (G) 3. Wagner Leonardo
33. Eder 31. Lucas Lima 10. Lucas Mugni 44. Marcos Victor 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 17. Paulo Baya 7. Pedro Henrique 1. Richard (G) 75. Rodriguinho 25. Vinicius Zanocelo
Coaches
Mano Menezes
Leo Conde
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Willian Machado 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fabian Balbuena ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
46', Edenilson ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
65', Aylon ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
65', Richardson ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
71', Alex Santana 🟨,
74', Freitas dos Santos R. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
75', Olivera C. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
75', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
82', Ramos R. 🟨,
85', Pedro Raul ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
85', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
89', Braithwaite M. ↓, Jardiel ↑,
90+2', Galeano A. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Grêmio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Red Card)
Dodi
(Red Card)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Fernando Miguel
(Inactive)
Fernando Sobral
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Grêmio: Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
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Tiago Volpi (G) 
Fabian Balbuena 
Walter Kannemann (C) 
Cuellar G. 
Braithwaite M. 
Olivera C. 
Ramos R. 
Amuzu F. 
Aravena A. 
Noriega E. 
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