Match Info

Gaucho - Round 2

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Grêmio		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	12	Watch
	1.27	4.95	9.8
	1.26	5.46	10.47
	1.25	4.4	10
	1.27	4.6	10.5	Watch
	1.3	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	4.86 ↑ (4.26)	10.46 ↑ (9.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
72.3%

Draw
18.9%

EC São José Porto Alegre
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

21.5%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 4.

Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grêmio is the obvious favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.01.26	Avenida - Grêmio	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio	0:4 ✺
02.12.25	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Grêmio - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Goiatuba	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Goiatuba - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Recopa Gaucho
08.07.25	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.01.24	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	4:1
29.01.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Grêmio	0:1
02.02.22	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1
22.03.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Grêmio	1:1
30.01.20	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1
09.03.19	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:0

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