Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.72	3.35	4.85	Watch
	1.75	3.52	5.39
	1.72	3.47	5.17	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.8
	1.73	3.34	5.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.47)	3.4 ↓ (4.24)	5.08 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
54.4%

Draw
27.3%

Londrina
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

23.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Novorizontino's form might have worsened.

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 22. Ivan Alvarino 25. Dantas 14. Eduardo Brock 19. Diego Galo 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 16. Vinicius Paiva 10. Romulo 15. Tavinho 11. Robson (C)	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 13. Andre Dhominique 3. Yago Lincoln 4. Wallace (C) 33. Kevyn 8. Lucas Marques 5. Andre Luiz 7. Vitinho Mota 96. Thalis 11. Iago Teles 10. Gilberto
Substitutes
9. Carlao 3. Carlinhos 20. Castrillon N. 27. Diego Mathias 40. Jardiel 50. Juninho 24. Lora J. 1. Lucas Pereira (G) 17. Matheus Bianqui 30. Nicolas Careca 8. Ortiz C. 4. Patrick	9. Bruno Santos 28. Caio Maia 53. Chumbinho 20. Fabiano 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 32. Joao Tavares 77. Juninho 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 18. Paulinho Moccelin 6. Rafael Monteiro
Coaches
Moreira E.	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Kevyn 🟨,
36', Iago Teles 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Gilberto ↓, Bruno Santos ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Bruno Santos ⚽, Vitinho Mota (A),
57', 0 - 2, Lucas Marques ⚽, Iago Teles (A),
59', Romulo ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
60', Luis Oyama ↓, Juninho ↑,
66', Tavinho ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
66', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
72', Lucas Marques ↓, Fabiano ↑,
72', Andre Dhominique ↓, Heron ↑,
72', Vitinho Mota ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
83', Diego Galo ↓, Jardiel ↑,
83', Thalis ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
83', Mauricio Kozlinski 🟨,
89', 0 - 3, Andre Luiz ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, Carlao ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive) Maykon Jesus (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Novorizontino: 12.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	25	54
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Jacuipense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Mixto - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW
- Londrina EC
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Manaus - Londrina	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
07.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Londrina - Penedense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.11.23	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1
19.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	3:0
06.08.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	0:1
21.04.22	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1

Upcoming Matches