Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 32

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3	4.45
	1.97	3.15	4.67
	1.9	3.08	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	4.56 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
49.1%

Draw
30.5%

Operário Ferroviario
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

29.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Novorizontino (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Airton (G) 2. Rodrigo Soares (C) 37. Cesar Martins 4. Patrick 88. Patrick Brey 6. Luis Oyama 77. Mayk 47. Fabio Matheus 15. Tavinho 7. Pablo Dyego 99. Nathan Fogaca	1. Elias Curzel (G) 2. Diogo Mateus 16. Miranda 4. Giraldo J. 90. Cristiano 5. Indio 8. Zuluaga J. 88. Neto Paraiba 10. Boschilia (C) 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues 99. Ademilson
Substitutes
20. Airton 17. Bruno Jose 90. Caio Dantas 26. Dantas 5. Jean Irmer 93. Jordi (G) 9. Lucca 10. Matheus Frizzo 3. Rafael Donato 25. Romulo 22. Ruiz O. 8. Willian Farias	34. Andre 89. Daniel Amorim 27. Gabriel Feliciano 18. Gabriel Souza 11. Jean Lucas 75. Kleiton 70. Leo Gaucho 91. Lucas Wingert (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti 31. Vitor Pernambuco
Coaches
Moreira E.	Alex

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Luis Oyama 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Patrick Brey ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
46', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
46', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
47', Patrick 🟨,
49', Ademilson (Pen),
64', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽,
67', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kleiton ↑,
67', Ademilson ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
67', Cristiano ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
72', Giraldo J. ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
74', Gabriel Feliciano 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Cesar Martins (A),
81', Luis Oyama ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
82', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
83', Tavinho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
85', Zuluaga J. ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Jean Irmer ⚽, Lucca (A),
90', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
90+3', Cesar Martins 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13).

Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Operário PR is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Novorizontino is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Dantas (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Robson (Red Card) Vitinho (Inactive) Waguininho (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Pedro Vilhena (Yellow Cards) Thales Oleques (Inactive)

There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Romulo (Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Leo Cittadini (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Talles (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.25	Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
05.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Remo	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0
09.11.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
23.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0
06.11.22	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3
20.07.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	2:1

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