Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Argentina	10:00	DirecTV
Australia	00:00	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 5
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	14:00	beIN Sports Max
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports
Poland	14:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	13:00	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	14:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	13:00	Viaplay


	Villarreal		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	5	Watch
	1.66	4.1	4.8
	1.7	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.3	4.8
	1.69	4.15	5
	1.65	4.2	4.8
	1.73	4.37	4.83	Watch
	1.69	4.15	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	4.18 ↑ (4)	4.85 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villarreal
57.2%

Draw
23%

Granada
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

23.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.5%	19.4%	16.1%

Villarreal - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). Granada will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reina P. (G) 17. Kiko 12. Bailly E. 2. Mosquera Y. 18. Moreno A. 25. Traore B. 10. Parejo D. 6. Capoue E. 16. Baena A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 11. Sorloth A.	25. Batalla A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 22. Piatkowski K. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 20. Ruiz S. 6. Hongla M. 24. Villar G. 19. Pellistri F. 7. Boye L. 11. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
27. Akhomach I. 31. Alvarez I. (G) 44. Budesca D. 4. Comesana S. 19. Coquelin F. 9. Guedes G. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 42. Lekovic S. 23. Mandi A. 15. Morales J. L. 14. Trigueros M.	8. Arezo M. 2. Bruno Mendez 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 18. Jozwiak K. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 21. Melendo O. 10. Puertas A. 4. Rubio M. 28. Torrente R.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Medina A.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 3.

Villarreal is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Granada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Villarreal is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.24	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
16.02.24	Villarreal - Getafe	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Villarreal - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Barcelona - Villarreal	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WTTTW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
18.02.24	Granada - Almería	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Barcelona - Granada	3:3 ✺
03.02.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Getafe - Granada	2:0 ✺
22.01.24	Granada - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.10.23	Granada - Villarreal	2:3
19.02.22	Granada - Villarreal	1:4
16.08.21	Villarreal - Granada	0:0
03.04.21	Granada - Villarreal	0:3
20.01.21	Villarreal - Granada	2:2
19.06.20	Granada - Villarreal	0:1
17.08.19	Villarreal - Granada	4:4

Upcoming Matches