Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)


	Granada		Valencia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.55	Watch
	3	3	2.5
	3.2	3	2.55	Watch
	3.15	3.08	2.57
	3.13	3.08	2.57
	3	3.1	2.45
	3.15	3.17	2.62	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.59)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	2.54 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
30.9%

Draw
31.3%

Valencia
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	10.3%	76.9%

Granada - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 10 - 12.8%). Valencia will win (votes: 60 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 67.5% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Batalla A. (G) 17. Corbeanu T. 2. Bruno Mendez 4. Rubio M. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 19. Pellistri F. 23. Gumbau G. 20. Ruiz S. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Correia T. (C) 3. Mosquera C. 15. Ozkacar C. 20. Foulquier D. 23. Perez F. 8. Guerra J. 18. Pepelu 7. Canos S. 16. Lopez D. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 6. Hongla M. 18. Jozwiak K. 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 21. Melendo O. 22. Piatkowski K. 10. Puertas A. 12. Sanchez R. 28. Torrente R. 24. Villar G.	10. Almeida A. 19. Amallah S. 1. Domenech J. (G) 34. Gasiorowski Y. 11. Gonzalez P. 27. Gozalbez P. 6. Guillamon H. 22. Mari A. 13. Rivero C. (G) 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Sandoval J.	Baraja R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Canos S. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
57', Foulquier D. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
57', Corbeanu T. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
59', Boye L. 🟨,
63', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
65', Bruno Mendez ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
69', Perez F. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
70', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Almeida A. ⚽,
79', Ruiz S. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
79', Uzuni M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
79', Villar G. 🟨,
86', Duro H. ↓, Mari A. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to safety reasons.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 1.

Granada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valencia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Granada won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.24	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mallorca - Granada	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Villarreal - Granada	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Granada - Almería	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
30.03.24	Valencia - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Villarreal - Valencia	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Valencia - Getafe	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Valencia - Real Madrid	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Valencia - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.11.23	Valencia - Granada	1:0
05.03.22	Valencia - Granada	3:1
21.08.21	Granada - Valencia	1:1
21.03.21	Valencia - Granada	2:1
30.12.20	Granada - Valencia	2:1
04.07.20	Granada - Valencia	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.20	Granada - Valencia	2:1

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