Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Granada		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.91	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.9
	4.5	3.3	1.95	Watch
	4.73	3.36	1.93
	4.73	3.36	1.92
	4.5	3.4	1.83
	4.62	3.47	1.96	Watch
	4.55	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.43)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
20.9%

Draw
28.9%

Real Sociedad
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.7%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.2%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	22.7%	56.8%

Granada - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 25 - 56.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 42.2% – 71.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Batalla A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 2. Bruno Mendez 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 19. Pellistri F. 20. Ruiz S. 23. Gumbau G. 18. Jozwiak K. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L.	1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Traore H. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 25. Galan J. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 22. Turrientes B. 19. Sadiq U. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Hongla M. 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 21. Melendo O. 22. Piatkowski K. 10. Puertas A. 4. Rubio M. 24. Villar G.	21. Andre Silva 39. Aramburu J. 11. Becker S. 37. Fraga A. (G) 15. Gonzalez U. 14. Kubo T. 29. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 16. Olasagasti J. A. 17. Tierney K.
Coaches
Medina A.	Alguacil I.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Granada: Vallejo J. (Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Fernandez C. (Knee Injury) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Munoz A. (Knee Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Pacheco J. (Yellow Cards) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Foot Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Granada won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.03.24	Villarreal - Granada	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Granada - Almería	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Barcelona - Granada	3:3 ✺
03.02.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Getafe - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTTL
- Real Sociedad
UEFA Champions League
05.03.24	Real Sociedad - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.02.24	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.24	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.09.23	Real Sociedad - Granada	5:3
13.02.22	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:0
23.09.21	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:3
14.03.21	Granada - Real Sociedad	1:0
08.11.20	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:0
10.07.20	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:3
03.11.19	Granada - Real Sociedad	1:2

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