Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 23

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Galvez Rascon D. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	2.15	Watch
	3.6	2.95	2.1
	3.9	3.05	2.1
	3.7	3	2.1
	3.92	3.17	2.16
	3.88	3.04	2.11	Watch
	3.75	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.7)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
24.7%

Draw
31%

Las Palmas
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

32.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

31.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Ibiza - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (48.3%), has project points - 37, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (16.73%), has project points - 68, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a chance of win league (17%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 44, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Las Palmas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.23	Eibar - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.22	Albacete Balompié - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
08.12.22	Ibiza - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.23	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	La Nucía - Las Palmas	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.22	Las Palmas - Ibiza	0:0
24.04.22	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:1
11.09.21	Las Palmas - Ibiza	1:1

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