Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Granada		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.62
	2.8	3.3	2.55
	2.75	3.45	2.7
	2.6	3.2	2.65
	2.67	3.38	2.76
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.66	3.48	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.47)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.68 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
35.7%

Draw
28.6%

PSV Eindhoven
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

20%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.6%	28.1%	31.2%

Granada - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 26 - 40.6%). PSV will win (votes: 20 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 28.6% – 52.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Granada has a good chance of round of 32 (93%), has a chance of round of 16 (41%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

PSV has a good chance of round of 32 (64%), has a chance of round of 16 (25%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Granada is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSV is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.20	Celta de Vigo - Granada	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Granada - Omonia	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.20	Granada - Valladolid	1:3 ✺
08.11.20	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Omonia - Granada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
29.11.20	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	PSV Eindhoven - PAOK	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.20	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	PSV Eindhoven - Willem II	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	PAOK - PSV Eindhoven	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	PSV Eindhoven - Granada	1:2

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