Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 7
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 5, SÝN Sport, Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 258
Kosovo	21:00	ART Prime
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport OTT 2
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 9
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport OTT 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 5, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 7


	RB Leipzig		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.55	5	4.75
	1.50	5.00	5.00
	1.55	4.95	5.05
	1.62	5	4.95
	1.58	5	4.98	Watch
	1.59	4.8	4.8
	1.6	5.07	4.58
	1.56	5.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.02)	5 ↑ (4.15)	4.86 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
61.1%

Draw
19.2%

PSV Eindhoven
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

22.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RB Leipzig's performance.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RB Leipzig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	2.2%	6.5%

RB Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.33) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - RB Leipzig (1.19) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - PSV (3.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -1.25 - RB Leipzig (2.00) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (42 of 46 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.16% – 99.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 10 - 71.4%). PSV (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 21. El Aynaoui N. 6. Banzuzi E. 10. Gruda B. 28. Nkunku C. 7. Nusa A. 40. Romulo Cardoso	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 2. Geertruida L. 4. Obispo A. 18. Kostic F. 24. Sano K. 17. Mauro Junior (C) 5. Perisic I. 20. Til G. 7. van Bommel R. 21. Mijnans S.
Substitutes
11. Bakayoko J. 3. Esteve M. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 39. Henrichs B. 16. Klostermann L. 2. Kone A. 30. Maksimovic A. 1. Nyland O. (G) 20. Reitz R. 13. Seiwald N.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 37. Bouhamdi A. 23. Bro Hansen M. 42. Cornecion S. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 27. Man D. 1. Olij N. (G) 35. Santos A. 51. Smolenaars T. (G)
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Perisic I. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Dest S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Gruda B. ⚽,
76', Gruda B. ↓, Reitz R. ↑,
77', Kostic F. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
77', Geertruida L. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
81', Nusa A. 🟨,
84', van Bommel R. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
84', Mijnans S. ↓, Bro Hansen M. ↑,
85', Obispo A. 🟨,
86', Baku R. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
86', Banzuzi E. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,

Preview

RB Leipzig has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

PSV shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

RB Leipzig may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to RB Leipzig for this game.

Confirmed absences for RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Guiu M. (Hamstring Injury) Kone A. (Off the roster) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury) Zingerle L. (Off the roster).

Confirmed absences for PSV: Lammers S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Nagalo A. (Injury) Pepi R. (Injury) Plea A. (Surgery) Schouten J. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Surgery) Wanner P. (Foot Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for PSV: Ouaissa S. (Muscle Injury).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	PSV	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
30	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

RB Leipzig: 0.59% PSV: 0.47%

Last Results with these Odds

RB Leipzig - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.08%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
09.10.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
05.09.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTW

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