The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
PAOK 36.1%
Draw 28.3%
PSV Eindhoven 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
26.7%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
18%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.
PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSV Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.6%
10.9%
20.6%
PAOK - PSV Eindhoven Predictions
Users Predictions:
175 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 120 - 68.6%). PSV will win (votes: 36 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 10.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 61.7% – 75.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
PAOK has a chance of round of 32 (42%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
PSV has a good chance of round of 32 (61%), has a chance of round of 16 (25%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
PAOK is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches PSV is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.