Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Twente		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.88	4	2.2	Watch
	2.70	4.10	2.20
	2.85	3.85	2.22
	2.9	4.14	2.25
	2.83	4.11	2.19	Watch
	2.8	4.05	2.2
	2.9	4.07	2.22	Watch
	2.7	4	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.92)	4.04 ↑ (4.02)	2.21 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
33.6%

Draw
23.5%

PSV Eindhoven
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

23.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	18.7%	62.5%

Twente - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). PSV will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 38. Bruns M. 3. Propper R. (C) 4. Nijstad R. 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Weidmann D. 17. Thorvaldsen F. 10. Taha Y. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. Weghorst W.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 2. Geertruida L. 4. Obispo A. 17. Mauro Junior (C) 24. Sano K. 10. Wanner P. 5. Perisic I. 20. Til G. 7. van Bommel R. 9. Pepi R.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 18. Bawuah J. 16. Drommel J. (G) 24. Kurowski K. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 7. Pjaca M. 2. Rosiak M. 11. Rots D. 37. Unuvar N. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 37. Bouhamdi A. 23. Bro Hansen M. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 18. Kostic F. 27. Man D. 21. Mijnans S. 1. Olij N. (G) 35. Santos A. 51. Smolenaars T. (G)
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Pepi R. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Taha Y. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Til G. ⚽, Mauro Junior (A),
29', 1 - 2, Til G. ⚽, Wanner P. (A),
43', Weghorst W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
60', van Bommel R. 🟨,
66', Perisic I. 🟨,
75', van Bommel R. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
76', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
76', Propper R. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
80', Wanner P. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Weidmann D. ⚽, Bruns M. (A),
86', Taha Y. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion ~ Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 0.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

PSV may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Twente: Hlynsson K. (Inactive) Lemkin S. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for PSV: Lammers S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ouaissa S. (Muscle Injury) Plea A. (Injury) Schouten J. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Twente has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:54 (averaging 1.2:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Twente against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:18 goals (averaging 1.1:2 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

PSV: 25.26% Twente: 4.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15:7	8	16

Last Results with these Odds

PSV Eindhoven - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
12.09.26	Twente - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Twente - Telstar	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Groningen - Twente	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Cambuur - Twente	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Twente	1:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
05.09.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:6 ✺
23.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.05.26	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	5:1
17.08.25	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	0:2
24.04.25	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	1:3
06.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	6:1
17.03.24	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	1:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
25.11.23	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	0:3

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