Match Info

League Cup

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)


	Greenock Morton		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.75
	1.46	4.2	6
	1.55	4.25	5.15
	1.56	4.08	5.09
				Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.53	4.15	5.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)	4.1 ↓ (4.15)	5.38 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
60.5%

Draw
22.4%

Stenhousemuir
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Greenock (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Greenock Morton will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Greenock Morton will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Greenock (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storer J. (G) 21. Gillespie G. (C) 6. Moore K. 23. Longridge J. 3. Delaney Z. 22. Shaw N. 27. Wilson I. 11. Crawford A. 8. Blues C. 7. Moffat O. 9. Adeloye T.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 5. Graham A. 3. Simpson O. 16. McGill S. 8. Anderson M. 14. Bilham K. 11. Taylor R. 9. Aitken M. 18. O'Donnell C.
Substitutes
4. Corr D. 10. Davies J. 14. McKay Z. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 29. Trialist A	33. Gromov Y. (G) 19. Trialist 12. Trialist B

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Adeloye T. ⚽, Shaw N. (A),
25', Aitken M. ↓, Trialist ↑,
30', Buchanan G. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Moffat O. ⚽, Gillespie G. (A),
45+3', 3 - 0, Adeloye T. ⚽, Moffat O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Shaw N. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
58', Moffat O. ↓, McKay Z. ↑,
58', Adeloye T. ↓, Trialist A ↑,
63', Simpson O. ↓, Trialist B ↑,
70', Gillespie G. ↓, Corr D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 5.

Stenhousemuir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Greenock is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish League Cup
12.07.25	Peterhead - Greenock Morton	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	East Kilbride - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
01.07.25	Queen of the South - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Annan Athletic - Greenock Morton	1:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
02.05.25	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLWW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
10.05.25	Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:3 ✺
Scottish League One
03.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
21.07.18	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	2:0
Club Friendly
01.07.17	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	0:3
Scottish League One
11.04.15	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	3:2
10.01.15	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:3
22.11.14	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	3:1
27.09.14	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:1

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