Match Info

Championship - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)


	Airdrieonians		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.25
	1.46	4.1	5.25
	1.51	4.3	5.8
	1.51	4.3	6.16
	1.54	4.21	6.09	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.53	4.27	5.18
	1.51	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	4.23 ↑ (4.02)	5.69 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
61.6%

Draw
22.1%

Stenhousemuir
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

20%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Stenhousemuir (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Melrose C. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 29. Bannon A. 25. Graham S. 23. Strapp L. 17. McGrattan L. 6. McMaster D. 12. McStravick L. 10. Frizzell A. (C) 24. Mochrie C. R. 7. Wilson B.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 21. Ewen K. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 15. Banner K. 2. Meechan R. 17. Anderson M. 6. Wedderburn N. 10. Yates M. 18. O'Donnell C. 7. O'Reilly E. 9. Aitken M.
Substitutes
44. Armstrong R. 11. Diack R. 15. Duffy F. 18. Gallagher G. 4. McCabe R. 8. McGregor L. 16. Watson C. 30. Wright K. (G)	24. Alston B. 26. Mcluckie B. 27. Morrison J. (G) 12. Taylor R. 11. Tomlinson S.
Coaches
McCabe R.	Naysmith G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Strapp L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Bannon A. ⚽, Frizzell A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Wilson B. ⚽, Strapp L. (A),
56', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
57', McStravick L. ↓, Armstrong R. ↑,
57', Frizzell A. ↓, McGregor L. ↑,
57', McGrattan L. ↓, Diack R. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Yates M. ⚽,
66', Meechan R. 🟨,
67', Wedderburn N. ↓, Alston B. ↑,
72', Jamieson D. 🟨,
73', Yates M. 🟨,
75', Yates M. ↓, Tomlinson S. ↑,
82', O'Reilly E. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
86', Strapp L. ↓, Duffy F. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 3.

Airdrieonians has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stenhousemuir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stenhousemuir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Airdrieonians is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
06.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:3 ✺
02.05.25	Airdrieonians - Ayr United	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLT
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
06.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:3 ✺
Scottish League One
03.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
06.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:3
Scottish Cup
27.11.21	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	0:2
Scottish League Cup
13.10.20	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	0:2
Scottish League One
13.04.19	Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir	0:1
26.01.19	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:0
27.10.18	Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir	0:1
18.08.18	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:2

Upcoming Matches