Match Info

Championship - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Stenhousemuir		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.25	3.4	1.9
	3.35	3.45	2.06
	3.57	3.49	2.06
	3.43	3.49	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.45	3.42	2
	3.35	3.45	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.04)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
27.3%

Draw
26.8%

Airdrieonians
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Airdrieonians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Airdrieonians will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 21. Ewen K. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 15. Banner K. 2. Meechan R. 17. Anderson M. 6. Wedderburn N. 26. Mcluckie B. 24. Alston B. 7. O'Reilly E. 9. Aitken M.	20. Melrose C. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 29. Bannon A. 23. Strapp L. 3. Hancock M. 17. McGrattan L. 6. McMaster D. 10. Frizzell A. (C) 12. McStravick L. 24. Mochrie C. R. 7. Wilson B.
Substitutes
27. Morrison J. (G) 18. O'Donnell C. 11. Tomlinson S. 10. Yates M.	44. Armstrong R. 11. Diack R. 15. Duffy F. 18. Gallagher G. 25. Graham S. 4. McCabe R. 8. McGregor L. 16. Watson C. 30. Wright K. (G)
Coaches
Naysmith G.	McCabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Hancock M. ↓, Graham S. ↑,
20', Buchanan G. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, McGrattan L. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, McGrattan L. ⚽, Mochrie C. R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 3, Mochrie C. R. ⚽, Wilson B. (A),
52', Wilson B. 🟨,
63', Alston B. ↓, O'Donnell C. ↑,
63', Mcluckie B. ↓, Tomlinson S. ↑,
67', McStravick L. ↓, Armstrong R. ↑,
67', McGrattan L. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
71', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Diack R. ↑,
71', Wilson B. ↓, McGregor L. ↑,
73', Aitken M. 🟨,
76', Wedderburn N. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
88', Strapp L. 🟨,
89', 1 - 3, Aitken M. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg./

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 3.

Stenhousemuir has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Airdrieonians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Airdrieonians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Airdrieonians will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
03.05.25	Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
02.05.25	Airdrieonians - Ayr United	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
27.11.21	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	0:2
Scottish League Cup
13.10.20	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	0:2
Scottish League One
13.04.19	Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir	0:1
26.01.19	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:0
27.10.18	Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir	0:1
18.08.18	Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians	1:2
18.03.17	Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir	1:0

Upcoming Matches