Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greenville Triumph		Miami

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.41	3.35	2.85
				Watch
	2.26	3.6	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.8)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	2.82 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
40%

Draw
26.9%

Miami
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.5%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenville Triumph's performance.

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greenville Triumph that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Torman S. (G) 4. Sims T. 42. Bubb Z. 5. Fricke B. 3. Polak T. 9. Robles R. 18. Evans C. 8. Herrera C. 20. Marsh C. 12. Lee E. 25. Castro L. (C)	28. Hamid B. (G) 4. Cardona N. 2. Ricketts J. 21. Akinyode B. 3. Mitrano A. 8. Romero M. 10. Blanco S. (C) 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 7. Gavilanes A. 9. Bonfiglio F. 30. Vazquez C.
Substitutes
6. Anguiano C. 77. Benton D. 80. Blinzler A. (G) 17. Gonzalez M. 2. Patti A. 1. Rankenburg G. (G) 21. Soto E. 10. Velasquez S. 7. Zakowski B.	34. Arana V. 16. Diaz G. 25. Jimenez I. 19. Lawrence M. 12. Martell R. (G) 17. Rivera R. 11. Veron D. 18. Zarate T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Castro L. 🟨,
13', Akinyode B. 🟨,
26', Bubb Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gavilanes A. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
46', Mitrano A. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Robles R. ⚽,
53', Marsh C. 🟨,
62', Robles R. ↓, Soto E. ↑,
62', Marsh C. ↓, Zakowski B. ↑,
63', Veron D. 🟨,
70', Vazquez C. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
79', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
82', Castro L. ↓, Patti A. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Anguiano C. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Miami will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
21.06.25	Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
12.06.25	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Greenville Triumph - Naples	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charleston Battery - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLTW
- Miami FC
USL Championship
21.06.25	Detroit City - Miami	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Miami - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Rhode Island - Miami	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Miami - Naples	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWLWW

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