Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Detroit City		Miami

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.05	4.95
	1.6	4.28	5.32
	1.53	4.62	4.99	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.8
	1.53	3.98	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	4.15 ↑ (4.06)	5.04 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
59.5%

Draw
22.2%

Miami
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Detroit City - Miami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Saldana C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 21. Rodriguez M. 8. Diop A. 2. Williams R. 9. Morris B. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.	1. Room E. (C) 12. Ndiaye B. 3. Kilwien P. 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 7. Tunbridge M. 8. Romero M. 5. Tori R. 9. Sonora J. 10. Locadia J. 22. Da Costa R.
Substitutes
15. Dalou A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 1. Herrera C. (G) 20. Hope-Gund R. 11. Rutz C. 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R.	35. Bent B. 18. Diallo M. 16. Diaz G. 23. Musto T. 27. Ndongo M. 26. Rocha A. 31. Rodriguez F. (G)
Coaches
Dichio D.	Maddoni G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Locadia J. 🟨,
29', Diop A. 🟥,
40', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
44', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Morris B. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
46', Williams R. ↓,
46', 1 - 0, Diouf A. ⚽, Yamazaki H. (A),
57', Saldana C. 🟨,
63', Ndiaye B. ↓, Rocha A. ↑,
64', Calfo A. 🟨,
70', Romero M. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
70', Da Costa R. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
70', Tori R. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Musto T. ⚽,
78', Musto T. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez M. ↓, Hernandez-Foster K. ↑,
84', Sonora J. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Stanley A. (A),
86', Diouf A. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
90+2', Diallo M. 🟨,
90+4', Smith D. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,
90+5', Diaz G. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 5.

Detroit City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Miami is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Detroit City is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami - the odds 5.09 are the expected chance of winning is 18.07%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Cup
16.05.26	Forward Madison - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Detroit City - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL
- Miami FC
USL Cup
16.05.26	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
07.05.26	Birmingham Legion - Miami	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Miami - Brooklyn	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
29.04.26	Miami - Naples	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.06.25	Detroit City - Miami	2:0
08.03.25	Miami - Detroit City	0:2
19.10.24	Detroit City - Miami	3:0
29.06.24	Miami - Detroit City	0:4
09.09.23	Detroit City - Miami	2:1
15.04.23	Miami - Detroit City	0:0
15.10.22	Detroit City - Miami	0:1

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