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Current Win Probability
Greenville Triumph 49%
Draw 26.7%
AV Alta 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
26.3%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
26%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenville Triumph's performance.
AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AV Alta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greenville Triumph that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AV Alta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Greenville Triumph - AV Alta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Torman S. (G) 22. Fritz K. 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. 15. Patti A. 20. Seagrist P. 7. Boyce D. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 17. Larsen B. 19. Liadi A.
27. Doumbia D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 16. Ceja E. 44. Pehlivanov K. 3. Ortiz A. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. (C) 20. Antwi G. 99. Bahena Jr C. 18. Aoumaich A. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
6. Agyaakwah I. 10. Akio W. 31. Beckford D. 11. Bouregy J. 48. Dender L. (G) 33. Meek L. 9. Robles R. 14. Wu D.
19. Anderson C. 11. Aoumaich I. 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 12. Relerford N. 22. Smith D. (G) 15. Winum M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Patti A. 🟨,
17', Doumbia D. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Fricke B. ⚽, Patti A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Antwi G. ↓, Aoumaich I. ↑,
66', Evans C. 🟨,
69', Seagrist P. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
70', Boyce D. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Ortiz C. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
83', Fritz K. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
83', Larsen B. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Bahena Jr C. ⚽, Villalobos J. (A),
90', Ortiz A. ↓, Winum M. ↑,
90', Desdunes J. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
90', Aoumaich A. ↓, Relerford N. ↑,
90', Patti A. ↓, Beckford D. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Greenville has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Greenville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Greenville will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
AV Alta
29
8
8
13
35:42
-7
32
16
Greenville
28
6
5
17
30:52
-22
23
Last Results with these Odds
Greenville Triumph - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
North-central-america
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
Watch
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Torman S. (G) 
Fritz K. 
Larsen B. 
Pehlivanov K. 
Lay O. 
Antwi G. 
Desdunes J. 
Agyaakwah I. 
Akio W. 
Beckford D. 
Robles R. 
Aoumaich I. 
Smith D. (G) 
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