Match Info

USL League One - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Spokane Velocity		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.72
	2.13	3.77	2.92	Watch
	2.3	3.32	2.66	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.13)	3.49 ↓ (3.77)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
41.1%

Draw
26%

South Georgia Tormenta
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Merancio C. (G) 13. Opara L. 4. Garcia D. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 17. John-Brown S. 77. Lewis A. 42. Meredith B. 11. Reedy P. 10. Gil L. (C) 9. Brett N.	1. Pack A. (G) 26. Kasanzu J. 23. Rasheed M. 15. Malou J. 3. Gabriel Alves 22. Doyle C. (C) 8. Gabriel Cabral 58. Jimenez O. 19. Bazini Y. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 9. Vivas S.
Substitutes
1. Bilichuk R. (G) 3. Crisler J. 19. Denton J. 2. Gil J. 14. Hernandez M. 16. Pelaez A. 8. Vinyals N. 22. Wells R.	71. Bwana H. 10. Gray T. 13. Jones S. (G) 4. Nare T. 6. Stretch C. 16. Tunbridge M. 28. Walker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Lewis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vivas S. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
57', Brett N. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
57', Lewis A. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
75', Jimenez O. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
75', Kasanzu J. ↓, Stretch C. ↑,
90', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
92', Garcia D. 🟨,
95', 0 - 1, Tunbridge M. (Pen),
99', Reedy P. 🟨,
100', Meredith B. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
100', Reedy P. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
107', Tunbridge M. 🟨,
111', John-Brown S. ↓, Gil J. ↑,
111', Gil L. ↓, Crisler J. ↑,
114', Pack A. 🟨,
115', 1 - 1, Pelaez A. (Pen),
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Walker A. (Pen),
1, Vinyals N. (Pen),
2, Gabriel Alves (Pen),
2, Hernandez M. (Pen),
3, Reid-Stephen N. (Pen),
3, Pelaez A. (Pen),
4, Tunbridge M. (Pen),
4, Garcia D. (Pen),
5, Gabriel Cabral (Pen),

Preview

Recent performances by Spokane have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tormenta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spokane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spokane has had a series of away games.

Spokane could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Spokane won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
25.10.25	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Spokane Velocity	6:1 ✺
18.10.25	Naples - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWTW
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
25.10.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Texoma	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Westchester SC	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
11.10.25	Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1
10.05.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Spokane Velocity	0:1
14.09.24	Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta	0:0
04.08.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Spokane Velocity	3:3

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