Match Info

USL League One

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Finnmarkshallen (Alta)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.6	2.58
	2.24	4	2.67
	2.10	3.98	2.88	Watch
	2.23	3.6	2.69	Watch
	1.92	3.16	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.04)	3.67 ↑ (3.41)	2.73 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
42.2%

Draw
24.7%

South Georgia Tormenta
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

AV Alta - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smith D. (G) 19. Cruz S. 26. Pajaro M. 16. Ceja E. 45. Ramos S. 2. Ortiz C. 5. Alassane M. 35. Robledo H. 11. Cerritos A. 7. Desdunes J. 17. Mariona J.	1. Pack A. (G) 3. Gabriel Alves 15. Malou J. 23. Rasheed M. 6. Stretch C. 22. Doyle C. (C) 28. Walker A. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 16. Tunbridge M. 58. Jimenez O. 19. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
8. Alaribe E. 23. Avilez C. (G) 42. Garcia J. 6. Lay O. 44. Pehlivanov K. 31. Villafranco A. 21. Villalobos J.	71. Bwana H. 14. Drey A. 8. Gabriel Cabral 10. Gray T. 13. Jones S. (G) 26. Kasanzu J. 9. Vivas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Alassane M. 🟨,
33', Malou J. 🟨,
44', Stretch C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Bazini Y. ⚽, Reid-Stephen N. (A),
57', Robledo H. ↓, Martinez W. ↑,
58', Alassane M. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
61', Ramos S. ↓, Lay O. ↑,
63', Gabriel Alves ↓, Gray T. ↑,
63', Malou J. ↓, Kasanzu J. ↑,
68', Tunbridge M. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
68', Walker A. ↓, Gabriel Cabral ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Bazini Y. ⚽, Reid-Stephen N. (A),
77', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
77', Mariona J. ↓, Pehlivanov K. ↑,
77', Ceja E. ↓, Alaribe E. ↑,
80', Cerritos A. 🟨,
83', Lay O. 🟨,
83', 0 - 3, Bwana H. (Pen),
90', 🟨,
90+8', Pack A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Alta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tormenta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL League One
13.09.25	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	AV Alta - Forward Madison	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Union Omaha - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Texoma - AV Alta	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLT
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
13.09.25	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - South Georgia Tormenta	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Richmond Kickers - South Georgia Tormenta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
15.03.25	South Georgia Tormenta - AV Alta	2:0

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