Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)


	Grimsby Town		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.06
	3.4	3.57	2.07
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.28	3.52	2.03	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.44)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
27.8%

Draw
26.8%

Plymouth Argyle
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.7%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

26.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Grimsby Town - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plymouth in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Plymouth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
29.10.22	Hartlepool United - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Barrow - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Grimsby Town - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Stockport County - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Grimsby Town - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
31.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Crystal Palace U21	1:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.03.20	Plymouth Argyle - Grimsby Town	3:0
English FA Cup
04.11.17	Plymouth Argyle - Grimsby Town	1:0
English League Two
06.05.17	Grimsby Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
19.11.16	Plymouth Argyle - Grimsby Town	0:3

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