Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Woolmer A. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.75	3.7	4.4
	1.73	3.65	5
	1.75	3.6	4.3
	1.83	3.6	4.72
	1.7	3.7	4.75
	1.79	3.84	4.65	Watch
	1.76	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	4.59 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
53.5%

Draw
25.9%

Shrewsbury Town
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.9%	8.1%	0%

Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Plymouth Argyle will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.09% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 10).

Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (25.09%), has project points - 91, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a chance of win league (25%).

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 12 (8.41%), has project points - 61, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 35, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 3.

Plymouth in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Plymouth is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Plymouth to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
22.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Crystal Palace U21	1:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
08.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWWW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
22.10.22	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.02.22	Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
21.08.21	Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:3
05.04.21	Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle	3:0
26.09.20	Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
12.03.19	Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
27.11.18	Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
10.02.18	Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:2

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